Track Specificity &
Spot Plays
There is one giant problem with generalized
racing systems and methods - they do not and can not work across all tracks,
race types, odds and conditions. Trying to come up with one that does is
an exercise in futility, yet it seems to be an underlying hope - the
subconscious "holy grail" of most handicapping research.
Very simply:
*What works at Timonium very likely
doesn't work at all at Santa Anita -
*A handicapping factor that is hot at Saratoga is ice at Charles Town
-
*A race passing rule that is viable at Fairgrounds might pass almost
every
winner at Lone Star - and so it goes.
Also, money management, as it is related to the
flow of wagering, is another factor that has its own unique
"footprint" at each track. At certain tracks, late tote action
on a horse is a good sign - even a necessary sign. At other tracks that
same kind of action can be all but meaningless. A long-odds method may
catch a fair number of 10/1 to 20/1 horses at track "A" - yet at track
"B" winners at higher than 7 or 8 to 1 are as rare as hen's teeth.
So - what to do?
Well, unfortunately, that bane of most
less-than-committed horse player types rears its ugly head . . . Record Keeping!
Testing of handicapping factors over long periods
of time at multiple tracks and keeping exacting and exhaustive records of those
tests is a must. Then tweaking and re-testing for another long period is
required. And - by "long period" I mean at least two meetings at
the same track at the same time of year.
"Egads!" I hear some of you
saying - but this is exactly the kind of thing that can make the difference
between becoming a professional player or remaining forever a
"wannabe."
Narrowing in on the very positive betting niches
is greatly rewarded. If the handicapping method you follow is getting you
an ROI of say 11% as a blanket approach - you can be sure there are
"sub-categories" within your betting that are triple that - and more!
The term "spot play" is often used for
an approach like this. There are scores of spot plays that have been
uncovered and published by astute handicappers. The study and application
of those (or modifications of those) to your own handicapping and betting would
very likely give your bottom line an immediate boost.
But - even those are almost always applied in a
general way across all tracks. To really unearth the
"gold," you've got to do some mining yourself.
It does not matter whether you use a unique
handicapping and wagering method completely formulated by you alone - or you use
a handicapping service like Horse
Racing Gold
-
your actual results will be unique to you.
Researchers in Experimental Physics have
postulated that any and every event - every experiment (read, "handicapping
results") - is affected and changed by the observer or tester himself -
merely by the fact of the observing.
So - your handicapping and betting record is
always uniquely yours.
You therefore have the possibilities before you
of searching out and finding exceptionally profitable "soft spots"
from among the whole history of your betting - spot plays that no one else
will have.
Maybe it's something so narrow as 'maiden
claiming races in the mud at Charles Town.' I don't know - but I know they
are there: Obscure profit niches are there - waiting for you to break out the
pick and shovel and dig in there to discover them.
One important note - all things are
cyclical. There is nothing permanent in Nature nor in handicapping and
race betting. You will find positive factors, so run with them - until
they turn. Then don't hesitate to get off what has been a winning
factor/spot play if and when it goes flat. Just replace it with the next
most valuable nugget you've unearthed with your research.
Handicapping is like hunting for
treasure: Having a genuine treasure map is exceedingly helpful!
At Horse
Racing Gold
our
own research is ongoing and relentless. We release various profitable spot
plays to our Insider's Club members - and some of them are real gems.
Maybe the best advice for finding "handicapping
gold" is:
"Go where the stream
hasn't already been panned out!"
There is a new mother lode
in race betting . . .
The Racing Exchanges.
Profits are much easier had there - the
excessively greedy track take has been effectively neutralized, and the increase
in bottom-line profits for sharp players is immediate and substantial.
We have just recently released a
brand new E-book, Racing Exchange Gold.
It explains - in depth - how you can mine the hidden treasure at the
exchanges. This is all relatively new, and like all things new - the time
to really take advantage of it is now - before the "sharks" cruise in
and snap up all the easy pickings.
The initial offering of REG
was made to current and former subscribers of the HRG Index only.
The response was overwhelming, and the comments have been profuse and
positive. Players are excited about this revolutionary new way to bet the
races. It's fascinating and far more profitable than butting heads against
the pari-mutuel system.
Racing Exchange
Gold is the closest thing you'll get to a
verifiable treasure map to race betting gold. Read all about Racing
Exchange Gold Click
Here