Horse Race Betting

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Horse Race Betting  9 - Base Bet + Square Root

 

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Base Bet Plus Square Root

This horse race betting method has been around for about 20 years, maybe longer, and was popularized by James Selvidge.
For an in-depth study of the approach, see his book - "Money Management" published by Jacada Publications ( I don't know if it's still available ).

The betting method can easily be tested in real-time with a small bankroll.  Selvidge recommended the base bet be only $1.00 (with multiple "flows" going on simultaneously), but you can use $2.00 or whatever base amount you want.

BB+SR is good for the small bettor.  It is a conservative race betting approach that allows a steady rise during an average winning series, yet protects hard-earned bankroll profits when a losing streak is encountered after good profits have been accumulated in that series (this quite unlike Kelly and some other methods).

Why not just flat bet?  This is a better question than it might at first appear to be.  Complex money management formulas often end up with a lower ROI on a series of wagers than just flat betting would have done.  The thing is, you need to look at the combination of ROI and total profits gained.  Using a flat bet of $2.00, or $20.00 or whatever - through a long series of bets, may very well earn a higher ROI, yet while gaining far fewer profit dollars than another money management method (because you bets are not escalating as you gain profits).

The BB+SR horse race betting method in a nutshell:  Your next bet is $2.00 (or whatever base bet you choose) plus the square root of any accumulated profits.  No profits?  Then the next bet is the base bet amount only.   (you'll need a cheepo calculator with Square Root function)

This horse racing betting method needs "doing" before it becomes clear, so lets do a sample.

The series of bets below were from Horse Racing Gold "Daily Best Bets."  These were all the bets for the days listed where the Best Bet horse went off at 3/1 or higher.  These are consecutive days and races.  This is a very good series.  I could have chosen, of course, other days that would have been either better or worse.

Key: bb = base bet,  sr = square root, p/l = profit or loss (race and total)

date

win

pla

sho

 

bb

s r

tot bet

pay

p/l

series p/l

8/24/03

       

2

 

2

x

-2

-2

8/24/03

       

2

 

2

x

-2

-4

8/24/03

       

2

 

2

x

-2

-6

8/24/03

       

2

 

2

x

-2

-8

8/24/03

       

2

 

2

x

-2

-10

8/24/03

11.2

5.8

3.6

 

2

 

2

11.2

9.2

-0.8

8/27/03

11

4.8

3.4

 

2

 

2

11

9

8.8

8/27/03

8.6

3.9

3.6

 

2

3

5

8.6

16.5

25.3

8/27/03

 

4.6

3.7

 

2

5

7

x

-7

18.3

8/27/03

 

4.4

3.5

 

2

4

6

x

-6

12.3

8/28/03

       

2

4

6

x

-6

6.3

8/28/03

       

2

3

5

x

-5

1.3

8/29/03

12.8

5.6

4.1

 

2

1

3

12.8

16.2

17.5

8/29/03

       

2

4

6

x

-6

11.5

8/29/03

13

6.8

4

 

2

3

5

13

27.5

39

8/30/03

8.9

4.6

3.7

 

2

6

8

8.9

27.6

66.6

8/30/03

11.6

7.2

4.2

 

2

8

10

11.6

48

114.6

8/31/03

       

2

11

13

x

-13

111.6

9/1/03

8.6

4.8

3.6

 

2

11

13

8.6

42.9

154.5

9/4/03

11.6

3.8

2.6

 

2

12

14

11.6

67.2

221.7

9/5/03

       

2

15

17

x

-17

204.7

9/6/03

       

2

14

16

x

-16

188.7

9/6/03

       

2

14

16

x

-16

172.7

9/7/03

   

4.3

 

2

13

15

x

-15

157.7

9/7/03

9.4

5.6

3.6

 

2

13

15

9.4

55.5

213.2

9/7/03

9.4

4.4

3

 

2

15

17

9.4

62.9

276.1

                     
 flat $ in

52

         BB+SR

211

     
 flat $ out

116.1

 +$64.10        

487.1

 +$276.10    
 flat ROI

2.232

 +123%        

2.308

 +131%    

As always - You need to test this approach on your reality - on your own historical handicapping and betting records.

 

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 Horse Race Betting Articles

(click to view/read)
arrow to Horse Betting main content

 Horse Race Betting 1
(basic philosophy)

 Horse Race Betting 2
(how to increase profits)

 Horse Race Betting 3
(basic parlay betting)

 Horse Race Betting 4
(progression betting)

 Horse Race Betting 5
(considering the odds)

 Horse Race Betting 6
(betting place parlays)

 Horse Race Betting 7
(the secret to betting profits)

 Horse Race Betting 8
(win-only betting)

 Horse Race Betting 9
(base bet + square root)

 Horse Race Betting 10
(fixed % minimum betting)

 Horse Race Betting 11
(betting the exacta)

 Horse Race Betting 12
(lay betting)

 Horse Race Betting 13
(place and show betting)

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